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Tom Brady Hasn't Lost Three Straight Games Since 2002

The Bucs (-550) are on a 2-game losing streak, but oddsmakers have them as double digit favorites against the Giants on Monday Night Football šŸˆ (4 minute read)

Welcome new subscribers! Jonathan Taylor had five touchdowns yesterday — if he’s your RB1 you had a fun afternoon. Now let’s talk Brady šŸ‘‡

Monday Night Football Preview

Should Bucs fans be panicking, or should they take a page out of Aaron Rodgers’ book and R-E-L-A-X? For the first time this season, Tampa Bay lost two straight games. The source of their offensive collapse has been Tom Brady, who has turned the ball over five times in the last two weeks (4 INTs, 1 FUM)

However, a good team to ā€œget back on trackā€ against is the 3-6 Giants. The Bucs, who are 3-0 this year when favored by double digits, are 10.5-point favorites

  • Spread: Bucs -10.5

  • Moneyline: Giants +400 (bet $100, win $400), Bucs -550

  • Over/Under: 49.5

Short The Points

These two teams combined for just 48 pts in last year’s head-to-head meeting, with the Bucs walking away with the win. Taking the under in this matchup seems like the right call, but let’s analyze it from each team’s perspective 🧠

  • Over 49.5 total pts: -110

  • Under 49.5 total pts: -110

Tampa Bay’s side: While the Bucs rank third in scoring this season (31.0 PPG), they’ve fallen short of that mark in three of their last four games

New York’s side: The Giants rank in the bottom-10 in scoring (19.9 PPG), including dead last in red-zone scoring percentage (44%)

With the Bucs’ inconsistent offense, the Giants’ inability to score, and a considerable amount of injuries to skill players, I’m definitely throwing the under in my MNF parlay šŸ“‰

Tom Brady Prop Bet

It’s been 19 years since Tom Brady lost three straight games. Coincidentally, the Bucs also won the Super Bowl to wrap up the 2002 NFL season. The stats just never end do they

Trivia question: who led the NFL in passing, rushing and receiving yards in 2002? (answer below)

At 44 years old, Brady ranks third in passing yards this season with 2,870. The Bucs’ offense relies heavily on throwing the ball (66.7% of plays), so we expect Brady to sling it against the Giants

  • Over 296.5: -115

  • Under 296.5: -115

Brady has thrown for 297+ yards in five games this season, including his best passing performance in a Week 3 loss to the Rams (432 yards). He’ll be facing a solid Giants defense that is giving up 249.9 passing Y/G (19th in NFL)

  • Despite dealing with injuries to Antonio Brown (ankle) and Rob Gronkowski (back), the Bucs still have Chris Godwin and Mike Evans

  • It feels like we’re due for a vintage Brady game with how the last two weeks have gone, so we’re riding the over here

For My Parlay Gurus

If there’s anything we’ve learned since Brady was drafted in 2000, it’s to NEVER bet against him. He is 18-8 on Monday nights, and I don’t foresee the unpredictable Giants standing in the way of another Brady primetime win. BUT, our parlay focuses on points and TB12

  • Giants vs Bucs under 49.5 pts: -110

  • Tom Brady over 296.5 passing yards: -115

Putting down $100 on this parlay would result in a $257 payout, just enough for two tickets to the Raiders vs Cowboys game this Thursday 🦃. If this hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve šŸ˜‰

Trivia answer: Rich Gannon (Bucs) had 4,689 passing yards and won MVP. Ricky Williams (Dolphins) was the leading rusher with 1,853 yards, and Marvin Harrison (Colts) led the way with 1,722 receiving yards