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The Steelers Have Only Scored 20+ Pts Three Times This Season

With an O/U of 39 points, Vegas is expecting a very low scoring game in tonight's Monday Night Football matchup šŸˆ (4 minute read)

Welcome new readers! Jacoby Brissett and Colt McCoy won games yesterday šŸ¤·šŸ½ā€ā™‚ļø. If the parlay below hits, first to hit up [email protected] gets $100 šŸ¤‘

Monday Night Football Preview

Where were you on October 14, 1991? That was the last time the Steelers lost at home on Monday Night Football. They are 27-5 in Pittsburgh since MNF began in 1970, including 19 straight wins. Only four players on the Steelersā€™ active roster were even alive in 1991 (QB Ben Roethlisberger, DE Cam Heyward, K Chris Boswell and CB Joe Haden) šŸ¤Æ

Fast forward to tonight and we have the 4-3 Steelers taking on the 3-5 Bears. Pittsburgh has rattled off three straight wins to get themselves back in the AFC North hunt

  • Spread: Steelers -6.5

  • Moneyline: Bears +240 (bet $100, win $240), Steelers -300

  • Over/Under: 39

Trivia question: Who has the most receptions for the Steelers this season? (answer below)

Points? Doubt it

If you turn on this game expecting to see two high-powered offenses score a bunch of points, youā€™re in the wrong place. The Bears rank in the bottom-two with 15.4 PPG, while the Steelers arenā€™t much better at 18.9 PPG (7th-worst in NFL). Letā€™s analyze the over/under for MNF šŸ‘‡

  • Over 39 pts: -110

  • Under 39 pts: -110

Pittsburgh has only scored 20+ pts in three games this year, while Chicago has only done it four times. Despite the under being extremely low, both the Bears and Steelersā€™ offenses have been so atrocious that theyā€™ve hit the under quite a bit this season

  • The under is 6-1 in the previous seven outings for the Bears, including the past three road contests

  • The under is 5-2 in seven games overall for the Steelers

Points are at a premium in this game from an offensive standpoint, and I havenā€™t even mentioned the Steelersā€™ defense. Theyā€™ve allowed just 20.3 PPG (7th-best in NFL) and 345.7 YPG (11th-best in NFL), so I really like the under in Pittsburgh

Najee Harris Prop Bet

When the Steelersā€™ offense is on the field, investing in Najee Harris against the Bears is the perfect call

  • Over 79.5: -115

  • Under 79.5: -115

Najee has run for over 79 yards in three straight games, plus his volume is elite with 23+ rushing attempts over that span. Heā€™s been so effective for the Steelers, especially from Weeks 4-8, that he was named NFL Offensive Rookie of the Month for October (3rd Steelers player to ever receive that honor)

Najee will be going up against a Bears defense, without LB Khalil Mack (foot), that has given up the ninth-most rushing YPG this season (125.0). On top of that, with Ben Roethlisberger nursing a right shoulder injury, expect Pittsburghā€™s offense to rely heavily on Najeeā€™s legs šŸƒā€ā™‚ļø

For My Parlay Gurus

Knowing how unbeatable the Steelers have been in Pittsburgh on Monday night, itā€™s only right to ride with the BLACK and GOLD. Throwing down $100 on this parlay would result in a $375 payout

  • Steelers moneyline: -300

  • Bears vs Steelers under 39 pts: -110

  • Najee Harris over 79.5 rushing yards: -115

If this hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve šŸ˜‰

Previous Parlay:

  • Michael Carter over 48.5 rushing yards: HIT (49)

  • Michael Carter over 35.5 receiving yards: HIT (one catch for 37 yards)

  • Jets +10.5: MISS

Trivia answer: Diontae Johnson (40) has three more receptions than Najee Harris (37)