Seven QBs who might lead the NFL in INTs

Passing Leads to INTs

Over the last decade, the NFL has transitioned to a very pass heavy league. Of the Top 20 Passing Yards in a Single-Season, only two are from seasons before 2011. The majority have come from recent stars like Brady, Manning, Brees, Mahomes and Stafford

With more passes comes more interceptions. Take a look at the league leaders in INTs over the last five years

• 2020: Carson Wentz and Drew Lock, 15 INTs

• 2019: Jameis Winston, 30 INTs

• 2018: Ben Roethlisberger, 16 INTs

• 2017: DeShone Kizer, 22 INTs

• 2016: Philip Rivers, 21 INTs

Of these five players, Big Ben’s Steelers were the only team to finish the season with a winning record. As expected, leading the league in INTs usually goes hand-in-hand with missing the playoffs

Projected 2021 INT Leaders

• Ryan Fitzpatrick, Washington: +750 (bet $100, win $750)

• Sam Darnold, Panthers: +750

• Jared Goff, Lions: +800

• Zach Wilson, Jets: +900

• Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers: +1200

• Jalen Hurts, Eagles: +1200

• Trevor Lawrence: Jaguars: +1200

Outside of the Steelers and Washington, the five teams above make up the bottom dwellers of the NFL. Take a look at their projected win totals

• Detroit Lions: 4.5 wins

• New York Jets: 6 wins

• Philedelphia Eagles: 6.5 wins

• Jacksonville Jaguars: 6.5 wins

• Carolina Panthers: 7.5 wins

The Favorite: Ryan Fitzpatrick’s career has already defied the odds, as he’s set to play for his 9th team in 15 seasons. In 165 career games, Fitz has thrown 169 INTs 🤯. While his mistakes have gone down since the early 2010s, the Washington QB is still the smart bet to lead the league in INTs

Young QBs Taking Over

Wilson, Hurts and Lawrence all enter this season with similar narratives. Each will take over a team with below average talent, new coaches and pressure to win

• Robert Saleh: New Jets coach

• Nick Sirianni: New Eagles coach

• Urban Meyer: New Jaguars coach

Last year we saw a few franchises turn over their team’s to a Rookie QB, but none came close to the INT numbers we expect from the this season’s favorites

• Justin Herbert: 31 TDs, 10 INTs, 15 games

• Joe Burrow: 13 TDs, 5 INTs, 10 games

• Tua Tagovailoa: 11 TDs, 5 INTs, 9 games

However, the learning curve in the NFL is steep, and coaches will allow for a few seasons of mistakes from generational talent. Regardless of 2021 numbers, all five Rookie QBs are here to stay

Which Rookie QB are you taking to win Offensive Rookie of the Year? Let us know in the comments 👇

• Mac Jones: +250

• Trevor Lawrence: +400

• Zach Wilson: +450

• Justin Fields: +700

• Trey Lance: +800