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The Ravens Are 0-4 Against The Spread As Road Favorites This Season

Lamar is posting the best passing stats of his career, but being a big favorite on the road is a recipe for gambling trouble 🏈 (4 minute read)

Pat Connaughton hit seven 3s vs the Knicks last night 👀. As usual, if the parlay below hits, the first person to email [email protected] gets $100 🤑

Thursday Night Football Preview

With every team in the AFC North currently boasting a winning record, the Baltimore Ravens have little room for error as they attempt to hang onto their razor-thin division lead. Tonight, they’ll look to take care of business against a Miami Dolphins team coming off their first win since Week 1 👇

  • Spread: Ravens -7.5 @ Miami

  • Moneyline: Dolphins +290 (bet $100, win $290), Ravens -385

  • Over/Under: 46.5

Being favored on the road has not been kind to Baltimore this season — they’re actually 0-4 against the spread (ATS) as a favorite when playing away from M&T Bank Stadium this season

A One-Sided Affair

While the Ravens ATS trends may give Dolphins fans hope that tonight’s showdown stays competitive, recent matchups tell a different story

  • Dating back to 2008, the Ravens have beaten the Dolphins in eight of their last nine matchups

  • Since their most recent loss to Miami in 2015, Baltimore has won the last three meetings by a combined score of 137-16…that’s an average winning margin of 40.3 points 🤯

These teams last faced off in Week One of 2019, and in the season debut of his MVP campaign, Lamar put on an absolute show. Do yourself a favor and check out the highlights

Trivia question: Who was the starting quarterback for the Dolphins the last time they beat the Ravens (2015)? (answer below)

Tale Of The Tape

Road favorites of 7+ points is definitely a risky bet, but take a look at Ravens’ elite offensive stats this season

  • Baltimore’s 427.9 yards per game ranks second in the league, while their 27.6 points per game ranks seventh

  • Lamar is currently averaging over 276 passing yards per game, which would best his previous career high by nearly 70 yards

  • Hollywood Brown is starting to look like a bonafide #1 receiver, either topping 100 yards or catching a touchdown in all but two games this season

The Ravens have scored more than 30 points in three of their last four games, and if it’s more of the same tonight, I just don’t see how the Dolphins can keep pace

  • Miami is one of just three teams averaging less than 300 yards of total offense per game, and their 17.2 PPG is fifth-lowest in the league

  • Tua Tagovailoa is questionable tonight with a fractured finger, and the decision between him and Jacoby Brissett may not come until pregame warmups 

  • Whoever does start, can they keep him upright? The Fins have let up 234 QB pressures this season, by far the highest total in the league

There’s certainly a chance the Miami defense, led by All-Pro cornerback Xavien Howard (who the Ravens tried to trade for last week), can neutralize Lamar and turn this into a classic Thursday night defensive battle. But the more this game leans towards a shootout, the worse it could be for the Dolphins 🤕

For My Parlay Gurus

Xavien who? I still got my boy Hollywood eating tonight, along with the rest of the Ravens offense. Mark Andrews is due to find pay dirt, and I expect Baltimore to have no issues covering, resulting in a juicy parlay that would net $799 on a $100 bet👇

  • Hollywood Brown over 62.5 recieving yards: -113

  • Mark Andrews over 0.5 touchdowns: +150

  • Ravens -7.5: -110

If this hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve 😉

Previous Parlay:

  • Clippers -3 vs the Trail Blazers: HIT

  • Paul George over 27.5 points: MISS

  • Paul George over 3.5 threes: MISS

Trivia answer: Ryan Tannehill, who threw for just 86 yards in Miami’s 15-13 victory in 2015