Morning — DeVonta Smith caught a bomb yesterday on the player drafted one pick before him. Plus it was his birthday 🎂

Monday Night Football Preview

The 49ers have been the Rams’ kryptonite in recent years, winning their last four meetings vs Los Angeles. The tide seems to be turning though, as these two teams are in totally different positions coming into Week 10

The Rams are 7-2, and just added Odell Beckham Jr. to their already LOADED roster

• OBJ is expected to make his debut tonight as an occasional punt returner in a package of designed plays

On the other hand, the 49ers are 3-5 this season and are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Cardinals’ second-string offense

MNF Betting Preview 

• Spread: Rams -3.5

• Moneyline: Rams -180 (bet $180, win $100), 49ers +155

• Over/Under: 50

Confident ATS (Rams -3.5)

The Rams’ performance last week in a loss to the Titans was an outlier in an almost flawless season thus far. Los Angeles is averaging 29.0 PPG, which ranks fifth in the NFL. If history has taught us anything, it’s that the Rams seem to perform well against the spread following a loss 👇

Betting Trends

• The Rams are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight-up loss

• 86% of money bet on the Rams is on the spread

The Rams are 4-0 on the road this season, and their offense has dazzled with Matthew Stafford at the helm. He currently leads the NFL in passing yards (2,771) and QBR (69.7), plus he just received a new toy with the signing of OBJ

• This juggernaut offense will be up against a banged-up San Francisco defense that ranks 24th in pressure rate

• Plus, they were just shredded through the air in Week 9 by Colt McCoy and Christian Kirk…

If that’s not enough Rams stats for you, LA’s defense is just as elite. Behind superstar Aaron Donald, they rank second in sacks per game (3.1) and sixth in yards allowed per pass attempt (6.4). Also, we might get to see some Von Miller action. I like the Rams to bounce back with a win and cover spread 💯

Cooper Kupp Prop Bet

Stafford’s favorite target this season has been the Rams’ 2017 third-round pick, Cooper Kupp. With the news of Robert Woods’ ACL injury and OBJ just joining the team this week, expect Kupp to continue to carry this WR group

Receiving Yards vs the 49ers

• Over 97.5: -115

• Under 97.5: -115

Kupp joined Jerry Rice as the only players in the Super Bowl era with at least 1,000 yards receiving and 10 TD catches in his team’s first nine games. He’s reeled in 100+ receiving yards in three of his last four games, and he leads the NFL in almost every category 🤯

• Receiving yards: 1,019 (1st in NFL)

• Touchdowns: 10 (1st in NFL)

• Receptions: 74 (1st in NFL)

• Targets: 103 (1st in NFL)

Kupp has torched just about every team he’s played this season, so I like him to stay hot vs the 49ers

Trivia question: where did Cooper Kupp play in college? (answer below)

For My Parlay Gurus

Despite Jimmy Garoppolo winning all four career starts against the Rams, I don’t believe a fifth straight win is in the cards. This 2021 Los Angeles squad seems to be a little different, having not lost back-to-back games all season. Resiliency is KEY! 🔑

• Rams -3.5: -110

• Cooper Kupp over 97.5 rec yards: -115

Throwing down $100 on this parlay would result in a $256 payout. If this hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve 😉

Trivia question: Kupp played at Eastern Washington with WR Kendrick Bourne, who currently plays on the Patriots. Solid receiving core