NFL Division With The Tightest Odds

Since we're less than two months away from the 2022-23 NFL season, let's take a look at how each team, in what should be the toughest division in the NFL, stacks up. AFC West preview coming in hot 🏈 (3 min read)

Author

Will Gendron
July 21, 2022

Since there's no NFL just yet, we got a solid MLB parlay for tonight — Astros ML vs. Yankees (Game 1 of DH) and Dodgers -1.5 vs. Giants. More info below on a chance to win $100 👇

Breaking Down The AFC West

It's mid-July, which means the temperature is boiling, sports have slowed to a crawl, and the lone highlights we get are usually double-play related. But instead of analyzing every single report about a potential LeBron and Kyrie reunion in LA, let's look ahead to the upcoming NFL season 👇

  • NFL pre-season begins on August 4th, with the Raiders hosting the Jaguars

  • The regular season begins with an electric matchup on September 8th, as the defending champion Rams welcome the Bills to SoFi Stadium

  • It's early, but both of these teams could find themselves pitted against each other in the Super Bowl — Buffalo is the favorite (+650) to hoist the Lombardi, while the Rams have the fourth-best odds at +1100

Before we dive into the details, here's a breakdown of the AFC West division odds 🏈

AFC West Division Winner (subject to change)

  • Kansas City Chiefs: +155 (bet $100, win $155)

  • Los Angeles Chargers: +240

  • Denver Broncos: +260

  • Las Vegas Raiders: +700

Battle Of The Quarterbacks

One aspect of this division that sticks out is the elite-level quarterback play. While Derek Carr is not quite up to the standards as the other three players, he still has a 92.4 career passing rate. Speaking of ratings, this year's AFC West will make history with each play caller boasting 90+ 🤯

📍 Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

  • What needs to be said about Mahomes? He's been to two Super Bowls already, and has posted a 21-3 record against the rest of the AFC West since he put on a Kansas City uniform 🐐

📍 Justin Herbert (Chargers)

  • Entering his third season, there will be some playoff expectations for Herbert. Not to mention, he's the favorite to secure the most passing yards for the 2022-23 season at +700

📍 Russell Wilson (Broncos)

  • Wilson has one Super Bowl under his belt, but it's been nine years since that dub. After last year's lackluster season, expect him to come into the Broncos' opener on September 12th against the Seahawks with a chip on his shoulder ☠️

📍 Derek Carr (Raiders)

  • We mentioned Carr is weakest link of this group, but he did have the third-lowest turnover-worthy plays in the red zone last year at 0.9%. He might be a long-shot for the most regular season passing yards at +1100, but with Davante Adams and Hunter Renfrow as two pro-bowl options, look out for Carr 😤

It's All About The Ws

The only thing fans care about is how many wins their team can rack up during the season, and with how competitive the AFC West is, expect to see a lot of Ws. Let's check out the numbers 👇

  • Chiefs O/U: 10.5 wins

  • Chargers O/U: 9.5 wins

  • Broncos O/U: 9.5 wins

  • Raiders O/U: 8.5 wins

As you can see, the projected wins for each AFC West team is in-line with the division odds. No betting arbitrage here 😑

Trivia Question: Where does Derek Carr rank among Troy Aikman, John Elway and Jim Kelly when it comes to career passing yards and TDs through their first eight seasons? (answer below)

For My Parlay Gurus

Since we still need a parlay, I'm tapping into baseball's first day back from the All-Star break. I like the Astros over the Yankees in Game 1 of a doubleheader in Houston, and I think the Dodgers will cover the spread against the Giants. Check it out 👇

  • Astros ML vs. Yankees (Game 1 of DH): -126

  • Dodgers -1.5 vs. Giants: +125

$100 on this bet would win you $304 — if we hit, make sure you email [email protected] for a chance to win up to $100*. Many will enter, only some will win 😉

Low on Overtime apparel? Sign up for texts and get 15% off the OT shop, just for Even The Odds readers

Want more betting content from Overtime? Check out Even The Odds on Twitter 🤑Was this newsletter forwarded to you? Join thousands of other informed subscribers

Trivia Answer: Carr ranks first among Troy Aikman, John Elway and Jim Kelly with 31,700 yds and 193 TDs through his first eight seasons

*NO PURCHASE NECESSARY. Open to legal residents of the 50 United States and the District of Columbia. Must be 18 years of age or older to enter. Many will enter, only some will win. Giveaway ends 12 hours after the completion of the final game references within the giveaway. The winner will be notified via the email address used to enter. Restrictions apply. See the General Conditions and Releases sections of Overtime's Terms of Use at https://overtime.tv/terms for additional giveaway terms©2022 Overtime Sports, Inc. All rights reserved.