- Even The Odds
- Posts
- I Just Can't Keep Up With These Yankees!
I Just Can't Keep Up With These Yankees!
Over the past month, the Yankees have completely turned their season around. Let's take a look at how their odds have changed 🗽 (3 minute read)
A Season Of Runs
Over the past month, the Yankees have completely turned their season around
Rewind to August 1st and the Yankees were:
2.5 games back of the second Wild Card spot
Had a 41% chance of making the playoffs
5% chance of winning the AL East
+2000 to win the World Series
Then, The Bronx Bombers ripped off wins in 21 of 25 games between August 1 and August 27, including a 13 game win streak 🤑
August Stats
On August 22nd, the Yankees’s odds of making the playoffs were all the way down to -700, and at +1000 to win the World Series
By the 25th, the Yankees had lifted themselves into the first wild card spot and gained a couple of games on the division leading Rays, which:
Boosted their chances of making the playoffs to 93%
Increased their likelihood of winning the division from 5% to 22%
Jacked their World Series odds from +2000 to +700, their best odds since May
However, since the end of the winning streak, New York had lost four straight games before a win on Wednesday night and have started to look more like the struggling club they’d been for much of the season
Their chances of making the playoffs remain unchanged, but as their slide has coincided with a couple of Rays wins, their chances of winning the division have fallen from 22% down to 4%
Home Stretch
But, there’s still hope. The Yankees will close the season with one of the easiest remaining schedules in baseball. In their final 30 games, check out the schedule comparison between New York and their top competitors:
Yankees: 3rd-easiest remaining schedule
A’s: 6th-toughest
Rays: 10th-toughest
Red Sox: 14th-toughest
If you bet on the Yankees to make the playoffs before the start of August, you can pretty much start counting your winnings now. If you didn’t, a bet at -1600 (bet $1600, win $100) might sound scary risk wise, but given their remaining schedule, it might be worth it
Current World Series Odds
Futures are always a fun bet to take, as the playoffs give you an opportunity to either hedge, or trust in your team
With around 30 games left in the season, here are the current odds to win the World Series:
Los Angeles Dodgers: +300
Houston Astros: +450
Chicago White Sox: +650
Milwaukee Brewers & New York Yankees: +800
San Francisco Giants & Tampa Bay Rays: +900
Which team are you taking to win it all? Let us know 👇