- Even The Odds
- Posts
- What To Expect In The Biggest Playoff Game Of The Night
What To Expect In The Biggest Playoff Game Of The Night
The Jazz were looking dead in the water only a game ago, but they fought to keep their season alive in Game 4. Can Luka and the Mavs take control of the series at home? ๐ (3 min read)
Tonight's parlay is Celtics +1.5 @ Nets & Mavs -3 vs. Jazz. More info below on a chance to win $100 ๐

Photo by Alex Goodlett/Getty Images
Massive Game 5
The NBA playoffs are all about momentum, one win can jumpstart a series win, finals run and a banner being raised. As the Mavs-Jazz series heads back to Dallas, Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert's game-winning alley-oop in the closing seconds of Game 4 could prove to be the spark Utah needed ๐งจ
Much has been made of the Gobert x Mitchell pairing lacking chemistry, but the Jazz found a way to lock in with their season on the line
After giving up 39 points to Dallas in the third quarter, they clamped down to allow just 18 fourth quarter points ๐
As for Dallas, its struggles down the stretch of Game 4 has made this series wide open. Despite the return of Luka Doncic, the Mavs could not get stops in the 4th quarter, and Gobert made just enough free throws to hold on. Take a look at the Game 5 lines ๐
Mavs vs. Jazz Betting Preview (subject to change)
Spread: Mavs -3
Moneyline: Mavs -154 (bet $154, win $100), Jazz +130 (bet $100, win $130)
Over/Under: 213

Photo by Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images
What To Watch
Utah has looked like a team on its last legs for most of this season. After an epic collapse at the hands of the Clippers (without Kawhi Leonard) in the 2021 playoffs, the Jazz barely made any offseason roster changes to better prepare themselves for playoff small-ball. That means sticking with Rudy Gobert ๐
Gobert thrives at turning away shots in the paint, as his three Defensive Player of the Year awards will attest
Unfortunately, Utah's wings are all too aware of this fact, as their porous perimeter defense allows constant attacks of the basket
Smart offenses like the Mavs' will play a floor-spacing stretch big who will enjoy numerous open looks as a result of Gobert needing to protect the paint
The Jazz didn't have much of an answer for Dallas in Games 2 and 3, as Jalen Brunson (this is crazy) drove relentlessly to the rim for either a score or a pass to a wide-open shooter. While their wings faired better defensively in Game 4, the true key to their late run came on the offensive end ๐ฅ
Jordan Clarkson played 36 minutes off the bench and outscored the entire Dallas reserves
Mitchell wasn't efficient, but finished with a 23/6/7 stat-line
Gobert had 10 offensive rebounds, resulting in extra possessions and free throws
Trivia Question: Jordan Clarkson is the reigning Sixth Man of the Year, can you name the previous three winners before him? (answer below)

Photo by Alex Goodlett/Getty Images
Welcome Back Luka
It's funny to act like welcoming back a player of Luka's caliber could ever be a problem, but the return of such a ball-dominant star requires the Mavs to adapt their game-plan ๐
Brunson introduced himself as legitimate offensive star and will seek star money this offseason with his masterful performances in Games 2 and 3
He was the pinnacle of efficiency, averaging 36.0 PPG with just one total turnover
Brunson still put up numbers in Game 4, but it was clear that his dip in the offensive hierarchy affected his rhythm in 7-18 shooting night
Dallas' secondary star will need to find his spots, but the true key to the Mavs' success is and will always be Luka Doncic. The Slovenian superstar enjoyed some of his usual magical moments, but he will need to find another gear to ensure a Game 5 win ๐ฃ
While Luka has become famous for his patented step-back threes, his greatest skill is using his brawn and guile for creative drives to the paint
Doncic utilizes a variety of dribble moves and well-timed pump fakes to open up runners and one-legged fadeaways, or spring perfect skip passes to perimeter shooters
He will need to get floor spacing big Maxi Kleber going again, whose hot shooting in games 2 and 3 was reminiscent of another German man ๐ฉ๐ช

Photo by Alex Goodlett/Getty Images
For My Parlay Gurus
This is an absolutely massive game, I'm betting on the Mavs to pull it out and ultimately win the series. Also, with Ben Simmons out and the Nets on the ropes, I'm adding Boston to complete my parlay. Check it out ๐
Mavs -3 vs. Jazz: -110
Celtics +1.5 @ Nets: -110
$100 on this bet would win you $264 -- if we hit, make sure you email [email protected] for $100*. Many will enter, only some will win ๐
Trivia Answer: Before Clarkson, Montrezl Harrell won in 2020, Lou Williams won in 2018 & 2019, and Eric Gordon won in 2017
Want more betting content from Overtime? Check out Even The Odds on Twitter ๐ค
Was this newsletter forwarded to you? Join thousands of other informed subscribers
*NO PURCHASE NECESSARY. Open to legal residents of the 50 United States and the District of Columbia. Must be 18 years of age or older to enter. Many will enter, only some will win. Giveaway ends 12 hours after the completion of the final game references within the giveaway. The winner will be notified via the email address used to enter. Restrictions apply. See the General Conditions and Releases sections of Overtime's Terms of Use at https://overtime.tv/terms for additional giveaway terms
ยฉ2022 Overtime Sports, Inc. All rights reserved.