Tonight's parlay is Celtics -3.5 vs. Warriors and Tatum Over 5.5 assists. More info below on a chance to win $100 👇

Pick A Side, Vegas

So far, the NBA Finals has looked like a true toss-up from a betting POV, and Vegas clearly agrees. After two games and six days of betting, future lines continue to flip-flop, as Boston and Golden State split games in San Francisco. Seriously, take a look at how the odds have changed 👇

• Before Game 1: Warriors were slight favorites to win it all 👉 After Game 1: Celtics were slight favorites (old lines here)

• Before Game 2: Celtics were slight favorites 👉 After Game 2/Before Game 3: Warriors are slight favorites (current lines here)

For the time being, whichever team wins tonight will become the de facto favorite, so get your bets in before the lines change again. Heading into Game 3, here's a few storylines to keep an eye on ✍️

• Draymond Green upped Golden State's physicality level in Game 2, literally playing full-back for Steph. I'm sure you've seen a lot of Draymond content (pretty much summarized here) over the last few days as he's been hopping on his podcasts for post-game thoughts

• After creating a ridiculous amount of open looks in Game 1, the Warriors' got in Boston's grill, forced 19 turnovers and held the Celtics to their lowest scoring game of the entire playoffs (88 pts)

• Keep an eye on the officiating in Game 3, as this play was called a foul in San Francisco. I don't see that happening in Boston

I expect this game to be extremely physical, and while Boston has superior size and athleticism top-to-bottom, that didn't seem to faze Golden State one bit on Sunday night. Will the Celtics respond with the same ferocity in front of their home crowd? ☘️

Celtics vs. Warriors Betting Preview (subject to change)

• Spread: Celtics -3.5

• Moneyline: Celtics -164 (bet $164, win $100), Warriors +138 (bet $100, win $138)

• Over/Under: 212.5

The Turnover Bug

If there's been one problem that's showed its face again and again during the Celtics' remarkable Finals run, it's been their inability to consistently take care of the basketball. Their sloppiness has resulted in turnovers, which translated to 23 points for the Warriors in Game 2. While Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum are dynamite scorers, both struggle at taking over lead ball-handling responsibilities when needed 😬

• Brown has had an up-and-down postseason, and his ball handling skills are being questioned

• Tatum is a more natural ball-handler, but has had multiple games where he shoots less than five shots in a half

Much of the ball-handling is reliant on Marcus Smart, who's been hobbled with multiple injuries, and has looked like a shell of himself for much of the young series 🤕

• Smart will need to play through pain and find his inner-Draymond for a Celtics team in need of his ball distribution

• Boston failed to get its bigs involved in the action last game, as Al Horford, Robert Williams III and Daniel Theis combined for 4 points

• Horford in particular will need to be featured far more offensively, as his Game 1 masterclass had everyone talking

Supporting Cast Stand Up

Golden State was in Boston's heads last game, but they shouldn't expect the C's to lose their composure at home. The Warriors will need more from their supporting pieces, who have failed to show much offensively in this series. While Curry is in a class of his own, he needs help 👇

• Draymond stepped up defensively after struggling to defend Horford in Game 1, and knows he needs to win the physical battle to be effective

• Offensively, the final piece of the Big Three needs to regain some confidence, as Klay Thompson has been flat-out terrible so far in this series 🥶

In the meantime, Poole has looked like a mini-Curry at times, thanks to his array of deep off-the-dribble threes and acrobatic finishes. But I think if Golden State wants to win three more games, it definitely starts with Klay. Boston has made it tough on him, but Thompson has gotten better in every game throughout this postseason

• Klay's Game 3 point total is set at 18.5, but he's only averaging 12.5 PPG after two home games

• I feel like he's due for a big game, right? We will see

For My Parlay Gurus

While Boston looked rattled in the second half of Game 2, I'm betting on their high-level talent and coaching to find its footing at home. Boston will need Tatum to orchestrate the offense in order to succeed, so I'm pairing the Celtics spread with his assists over. Take a look 👇

• Celtics -3.5 vs. Golden State: -110

• Tatum Over 5.5 assists: +104

$100 on this bet would win you $289 — if we hit, make sure you email [email protected] for a chance to win up to $100*. Many will enter, only some will win 😉

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