• Even The Odds
  • Posts
  • The Chiefs Are 6-2 Against The Spread After Their Last 8 Losses

The Chiefs Are 6-2 Against The Spread After Their Last 8 Losses

Despite Kansas City being just 3-4 on the season, the Chiefs are favored by 10 pts against the Giants on Monday Night Football 🏈 (4 minute read)

Welcome to all our new readers. As always, if the parlay below hits, the first person to email [email protected] gets $100 🤑

Monday Night Football Preview

Heading into the end of Week 8 of this NFL season, I guarantee that no one expected the preseason Super Bowl favorites to be 3-4. Kansas City sits at the bottom of the AFC West and is coming off an embarrassing 27-3 loss to the Titans last week. However, with a matchup against the 2-5 Giants, the Chiefs have a perfect opportunity to get back to .500

  • Spread: Chiefs -10

  • Moneyline: Giants +400 (bet $100, win $400), Chiefs -550

  • Over/Under: 52

In recent history, Monday seems to be the day of the week that has favored the Chiefs more than the Giants

  • The Chiefs are 4-0 in their past four games on MNF

  • The Giants are 0-4 in their past four games on MNF

The Spread (Chiefs -10)

Although a double-digit spread may seem like a lot for a struggling Chiefs squad, you have to factor in how weak the Giants have been this season

Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS after a loss in their last eight games

  • 59 percent of money bet on the Chiefs was on spread

Patrick Mahomes has not looked like himself this season, as he’s tied for the league lead in interceptions with nine. On top of that, he’s posting career-lows in both QBR (64.0) and yards per attempt (7.6). In spite of Mahomes’ rough start, he still ranks third in the NFL with 18 touchdown passes and fifth in passing yards with 2,093

From the Giants’ perspective, they will be without RB Saquon Barkley and WR Kenny Golladay on the offensive side of the ball. On the defensive side of the ball, they’ve done a poor job at bringing the heat on opposing QBs

  • They rank 29th in pressure rate

  • They’re giving up 243.1 passing Y/G (T-13th in NFL)

With that in mind, I’m confident the Chiefs can cover a 10-pt spread 🤞

Mahomes Prop Bet

If you’re a struggling team or player, New York football teams not named the Buffalo Bills usually provide ample opportunities to get back on track. Let’s take a look at Mahomes’ passing yards prop for MNF

  • Over: 301.5 (-118)

  • Under: 301.5 (-111)

Mahomes has thrown for 300+ yards three times this season, including his highest-passing game in Week 6 vs Washington (397 passing yards). In addition, Patrick has hit the over on two occasions in 2021 - law of averages says he’s bound to hit another soon, and why not against a Giants defense that is giving up 368.7 total Y/G

Kelce Prop Bet

With speedster Tyreek Hill receiving a majority of coverage attention, I’m looking for a big game from Travis Kelce 👇

  • Over: 6.5 (-133)

  • Under: 6.5 (+105)

Once again, Kelce has been the best tight end in the NFL, leading all TEs with 45 catches for 533 yards this season. Kelce has caught 7+ passes in four of his last six games, which is why taking the receptions over is a no-brainer

Trivia question: Travis Kelce was the 5th TE selected in the 2013 NFL Draft, can you name any of the others? Hint: only 1 has played this season (answer below)

For My Parlay Gurus

In a primetime battle between two sub-.500 teams, this game feels like it could be a turning point for either the Giants or Chiefs. Sorry Giants fans, but I think the Chiefs’ “high-powered” offense is about to explode at the expense of your squad. Throwing down $100 on this all-Chiefs parlay would result in a $636 payout

  • Chiefs moneyline: -550

  • Chiefs -10 vs the Giants: -108

  • Mahomes over 301.5 passing yards: -118

  • Kelce over 6.5 receptions: -133

If this hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve 😉

Previous Parlay:

  • Magic +7 @ Toronto: HIT

  • Heat -6 vs Charlotte: HIT

  • Mavs +1 @ Denver: MISS

Trivia question: Travis Kelce was the 63rd pick in 2013. TEs selected before him were Tyler Eifert (21st pick), Zach Ertz (35th pick), Gavin Escobar (47th pick) and Vance McDonald (55th pick)