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The Chiefs Are 6-2 Against The Spread After Their Last 8 Losses

Despite Kansas City being just 3-4 on the season, the Chiefs are favored by 10 pts against the Giants on Monday Night Football šŸˆ (4 minute read)

Welcome to all our new readers. As always, if the parlay below hits, the first person to email [email protected] gets $100 šŸ¤‘

Monday Night Football Preview

Heading into the end of Week 8 of this NFL season, I guarantee that no one expected the preseason Super Bowl favorites to be 3-4. Kansas City sits at the bottom of the AFC West and is coming off an embarrassing 27-3 loss to the Titans last week. However, with a matchup against the 2-5 Giants, the Chiefs have a perfect opportunity to get back to .500

  • Spread: Chiefs -10

  • Moneyline: Giants +400 (bet $100, win $400), Chiefs -550

  • Over/Under: 52

In recent history, Monday seems to be the day of the week that has favored the Chiefs more than the Giants

  • The Chiefs are 4-0 in their past four games on MNF

  • The Giants are 0-4 in their past four games on MNF

The Spread (Chiefs -10)

Although a double-digit spread may seem like a lot for a struggling Chiefs squad, you have to factor in how weak the Giants have been this season

Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS after a loss in their last eight games

  • 59 percent of money bet on the Chiefs was on spread

Patrick Mahomes has not looked like himself this season, as heā€™s tied for the league lead in interceptions with nine. On top of that, heā€™s posting career-lows in both QBR (64.0) and yards per attempt (7.6). In spite of Mahomesā€™ rough start, he still ranks third in the NFL with 18 touchdown passes and fifth in passing yards with 2,093

From the Giantsā€™ perspective, they will be without RB Saquon Barkley and WR Kenny Golladay on the offensive side of the ball. On the defensive side of the ball, theyā€™ve done a poor job at bringing the heat on opposing QBs

  • They rank 29th in pressure rate

  • Theyā€™re giving up 243.1 passing Y/G (T-13th in NFL)

With that in mind, Iā€™m confident the Chiefs can cover a 10-pt spread šŸ¤ž

Mahomes Prop Bet

If youā€™re a struggling team or player, New York football teams not named the Buffalo Bills usually provide ample opportunities to get back on track. Letā€™s take a look at Mahomesā€™ passing yards prop for MNF

  • Over: 301.5 (-118)

  • Under: 301.5 (-111)

Mahomes has thrown for 300+ yards three times this season, including his highest-passing game in Week 6 vs Washington (397 passing yards). In addition, Patrick has hit the over on two occasions in 2021 - law of averages says heā€™s bound to hit another soon, and why not against a Giants defense that is giving up 368.7 total Y/G

Kelce Prop Bet

With speedster Tyreek Hill receiving a majority of coverage attention, Iā€™m looking for a big game from Travis Kelce šŸ‘‡

  • Over: 6.5 (-133)

  • Under: 6.5 (+105)

Once again, Kelce has been the best tight end in the NFL, leading all TEs with 45 catches for 533 yards this season. Kelce has caught 7+ passes in four of his last six games, which is why taking the receptions over is a no-brainer

Trivia question: Travis Kelce was the 5th TE selected in the 2013 NFL Draft, can you name any of the others? Hint: only 1 has played this season (answer below)

For My Parlay Gurus

In a primetime battle between two sub-.500 teams, this game feels like it could be a turning point for either the Giants or Chiefs. Sorry Giants fans, but I think the Chiefsā€™ ā€œhigh-poweredā€ offense is about to explode at the expense of your squad. Throwing down $100 on this all-Chiefs parlay would result in a $636 payout

  • Chiefs moneyline: -550

  • Chiefs -10 vs the Giants: -108

  • Mahomes over 301.5 passing yards: -118

  • Kelce over 6.5 receptions: -133

If this hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve šŸ˜‰

Previous Parlay:

  • Magic +7 @ Toronto: HIT

  • Heat -6 vs Charlotte: HIT

  • Mavs +1 @ Denver: MISS

Trivia question: Travis Kelce was the 63rd pick in 2013. TEs selected before him were Tyler Eifert (21st pick), Zach Ertz (35th pick), Gavin Escobar (47th pick) and Vance McDonald (55th pick)