AFC East Rivalry

This week's installment of Thursday Night Football is actually a must-watch (finally). There's a lot at play here - the bad blood that has always run through the Pats-Bills rivalry, and the resentment built up from the years of suffering that Brady and Belichick inflicted on Bills Mafia. Buffalo got their revenge in last year's AFC Wildcard game, where they beat the brakes off the Pats in one of the most dominant playoff performances ever 😳

• The Bills took that matchup 47-17, and scored touchdowns on their first seven possessions

• This season has proven more up-and-down than most expected, and Buffalo will need a win in Foxborough to remain competitive with KC for the AFC's top seed 👀

The Pats, on the other hand, obviously entered this season in flux following their ignominious playoff defeat. They've found their form after a tough start, thriving behind a stout defense and reliable running game, but lost a close one in last week's Thanksgiving game in Minnesota. New England is even more desperate for a win than Buffalo, as another loss would drop them to .500 and out of the current playoff picture 😬

Bills vs. Pats Betting Preview (subject to change)

• Spread: Bills -4

• Moneyline: Bills -188 (bet $188, win $100), Pats +158 (bet $100, win $158)

• O/U: 43.5

Pats Revenge?

This has been a strange year for the Patriots, featuring an unexpected QB controversy, and some uncharacteristic errors few would anticipate from a Belichick team 😏

QB Mac Jones started the season slowly, which led to Bailey Zappe's emergence, but over the last two weeks has averaged 314 YPG. The Patriots just need Jones to be solid, as the electric play of RB Rhamondre Stevenson and the fierce Matthew Judon-led defense can carry most of the weight

• Mac actually played his best game of the season (and perhaps his career) last week against Minnesota, throwing for 382 yards and two touchdowns. The Thanksgiving loss was a tough blow for New England, who had a touchdown overturned on a highly controversial call 👇

The Pats will have their work cut out for them against the Bills, who have struggled as of late, but remain one of the most complete teams in the league. QB Josh Allen looked like the MVP frontrunner before throwing three red zone interceptions in two straight losses to the Jets and Vikings. He has improved his play in the two games since, but still seems to be dealing with a nagging elbow injury 💉

• Even if their QB is slightly diminished, the Bills' legion of strong receiving threats in Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis and Dawson Knox should make Allen's life a bit easier

• Buffalo nearly suffered a devastating Thanksgiving loss of their own to the Lions, but found a way to get the W through some last-second heroics. This absolute dime from Allen to Diggs set the Bills up for the game-winning field goal

For My Parlay Gurus

While New England is finding their legs on offense and will give Buffalo a fight, I like the Bills to pull this one out and stay in the race for the one seed. Allen and Diggs showed last week that Buffalo can always rely on their connection in times of duress, and I think the duo will show out tonight in a signature divisional win. Take a look 👇

• Bills -4 @ Pats: -110

• Stefon Diggs OVER 84.5 Receiving Yards: -113

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