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With Baker Out On TNF, The Browns Spread Dropped 3.5 Points

Baker Mayfield will miss tonight's game with a shoulder injury, so the Browns will turn to Case Keenum vs the Broncos 👇 (4 minute read)

October 21, 2021

If the parlay below hits, the first person to email me at [email protected] gets $100 🤑

Thursday Night Football Preview

A pair of struggling teams will face-off in primetime when the Broncos (3-3) take on the Browns (3-3) in Cleveland. Denver comes in on a three-game skid after starting 3-0, while Cleveland is on a two-game losing streak and has given up 84 pts over that span

  • Spread: Browns -2

  • Moneyline: Broncos +110 (bet $100, win $110), Browns -130

  • Over/Under: 41

The Browns opened as 5.5 pt favorites against the Broncos, but then news broke that Case Keenum would replace Baker Mayfield (shoulder injury) under center. As expected, Vegas shifted the line to Cleveland -2, avoiding large sums of money going on Teddy Bridgewater and the underdog Broncos

Case Keenum Prop Bet

Case Keenum will be making his first start for the Browns, along with his first start since 2019. Before last season, the Browns signed Keenum as protection in case Mayfield struggled for a second straight year. Turns out they’re going to need him sooner than they thought

Keenum is a 33-year-old veteran who has 62 career starts under his belt, and has thrown 75 touchdowns across 10 NFL seasons. Let’s take a look at his passing TD prop for TNF 👇

  • Over 1.5: +145

  • Under 1.5: -180

Fortunately for the Browns, Keenum and HC Kevin Stefanski have a history. Keenum started for Stefanski with Minnesota in 2017, back when he was the Vikings’ QB coach. That year, Case went on to post career highs in wins (11) and passing touchdowns (22)

Despite the Broncos only giving up 1.2 passing TDs per game this season, I’m going to jump on the Keenum-Stefanski bandwagon and take the over 🤝

Trivia question: what’s Case Keenum’s claim to fame? Sure, that’s vague, but you should still get it (answer below)

Donovan Peoples-Jones Prop Bet

If we’re taking Keenum on the over for passing touchdowns, then he needs a receiver to throw to. With the Browns having a number of stars on the injury list, including Odell Beckham Jr. (shoulder) and Jarvis Landry (MCL), turning to Donovan Peoples-Jones is a great option

  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: +300

Peoples-Jones is coming off his BEST game of the season in a loss to the Cardinals. He had four receptions for 101 yards (season-high) and two touchdowns (season-high)

The Broncos have given up 13 total touchdowns this season, and I’m betting that they’re going to give up another one tonight to DPJ 😤

For My Parlay Gurus

All eyes will be on Keenum, as he’ll be under center for the first time in two years. While I’m riding with the Browns for my prop bets, I gotta go Denver moneyline here. Throwing down $100 on this parlay below would result in a $1,909 payout 💰

  • Case Keenum over 1.5 passing TDs: +145

  • Donovan Peoples-Jones to score a TD: +300

  • Broncos moneyline: +105

If this hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve 😉

Previous Parlay:

  • Giannis over 48.5 PTS + RBS + Asts: HIT

  • Durant over 30.5 PTS: HIT

  • Steph over 5.5 threes: MISS

  • LeBron over 37.5 PTS + RBS + ASTS: HIT

Trivia answer: The Miracle in Minneapolis, when Keenum hit Stefon Diggs for the win in the 2017 playoffs