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The Astros Are +170 To Overcome A 3-2 World Series Deficit

Coming back from down 3-1 isn't impossible in the MLB, but can Houston's bats stay hot in Game 6? ⚾️ (4 minute read)

Welcome new readers! If the parlay below hits, the first person to email [email protected] gets $100 🤑

Not Done Yet

When Adam Duvall’s grand slam left the yard in the bottom of first inning on Sunday night, some early parade planning may have gotten underway in Atlanta. However, the Braves still remain one win away from their first World Series title since 1995

But, not so fast. After mustering just two combined runs over the previous two games, Houston’s bats shouldered the load in a season-saving 9-5 victory in Atlanta. With the series now at 3-2 and returning to Minute Maid Park, oddsmakers are a little more bullish on the Astros chances

  • Houston Astros: +170 (bet $100 to win $170)

  • Atlanta Braves: -210 (bet $210 to win $100)

The (Infamous) 3-1 Lead

Thanks in large part to the 2016 Golden State Warriors, a 3-1 series lead just hasn’t looked as secure as it once did. Overcoming that deficit in a championship series isn’t as rare in the MLB, but cases are still few, sometimes with decades in between

  • 1925: Pittsburgh Pirates over Washington Senators

  • 1958: New York Yankees over Milwaukee Braves

  • 1968: Detroit Tigers over St. Louis Cardinals

  • 1979: Pittsburgh Pirates over Baltimore Orioles

  • 1985: Kansas City Royals over St. Louis Cardinals

  • 2016: Chicago Cubs over Cleveland Indians

The 2016 Cubs famously ended an 108-year championship drought with their epic comeback, but perhaps most impressive of all is that they won the last two games in Cleveland. Do yourself a favor and check out these highlights from Game 7 (skip to 4 minutes in), easily one of the greatest games of all-time

Trivia question: which MLB team now owns the longest active World Series drought? (answer below)

A Look At The MVP Board

Houston isn’t out of it yet, but with Atlanta still in the driver’s seat to bring home the Commissioner’s Trophy, it’s no surprise to see the top of the MVP board leaning towards the Braves

  • Jorge Soler: +600

  • Freddie Freeman: +700

  • Adam Duvall: +750

  • Austin Riley: +750

  • Jose Altuve: +900

  • Travis d'Arnaud: +1,000

  • Michael Brantley: +1,100

Atlanta has gotten solid production from a variety of contributors, and currently a case could made for each of their five players featured on that list. Value-wise, the guy to watch here is Austin Riley, currently tied for third-best odds

  • Leads all hitters with a .381 average in the World Series (minimum 5 ABs)

  • Has yet to hit a long ball this series, but mashed 33 in the regular season along with another two this postseason

  • Went 3-for-4 on Sunday, smacking his third double of the series

On Houston’s side, no player has truly emerged from the pack just yet

  • Altuve, the current odds leader, has accounted for both of Houston’s home runs this series and leads the team with six runs scored. However, he’s batting just .217 with eight strikeouts

  • Brantley checked in as the surprise MVP favorite after going 5-for-9 over the series first two games, but he’s managed just one hit since

If the Astros do pull off the improbable, it’s likely we’ve yet to see the peak performance of whoever eventually takes home the MVP award

For My Parlay Gurus

“Game 7” may be the two best words in sports, but the Braves are going to do everything in their power to avoid it tonight. Max Fried will be toeing the rubber, and while he didn’t have his best stuff last time out, look for him to bounce back, and for Riley to provide some thunder as well

Here’s the parlay I’m riding with 👇

  • Braves to win: +108

  • Max Fried over 4.5 strikeouts: +110

  • Austin Riley to hit a HR: +250

$100 to win $1428 will certainly make you feel better about having to wait til next year to watch baseball again. If it hits, make sure to email [email protected] for $100. First come, first serve 😉

Trivia answer: The team on the losing end of that thrilling Game 7, the Cleveland Indians (73 years) 😢